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Letters to
Obama
The links in this column will
bring you to my letters to to US presidential
candidate Barack Obama.
When I look through my
"digital lens," and look at the United States of
America, this is what I
see.
There will be new letters at
least through August 2008.
|
THE THINK-SHOP:
"Looking Beyond the Radar"
Is your mind ready to
innovate?
You follow trends? Or follow the trend-WATCHERS?
Listen to extrapolations of things from the past or the
present?
What if the present isn't what you think it is?
What if your understanding of the world around you is
wrong? Chances are you live in the wrong reality.
If so, your thinking about the future might be
useless. Your "brainstorming" sessions about the right
strategy for your organization, the efforts of your
innovation teams about new products and services, your
assumptions about custoemr expections - all
wrong.
Come, and shake up your mind to open it up to a
new reality. Let me paint a different present for
you. Let's talk about the singularity we have entered
and the digital world that lays ahead.
Together, let us look beyond the obvious of the
radarscreens. They only show a past on its road to
irrelevance.
Don't stay behind. Innovate your thinking about
today before you try to innovate
tomorrow.
Join me and Look Beyond the
Radar.
THE THINKSHOP:
in Keynote or seminar formats.
Interested?
Email
me
~~~~~~
A new
Window on the world:
We are entering a
singularity of reality. The emerging digital reality is
taking over the role of the physical reality as the
source of information that shapes our understanding of
the world. That changes the very architecture of
our brains, and with that: the WAY WE THINK. I gave
that new realtiy the name DIGEALITY. Because it is
not a point in time, but a process akin to a crossing, I
named that singularity the XIngularity (so that you do
not confuse it with Ray Kurzweil's
'singularity').
It is my deep belief
that in a world of technology, technology no longer
makes the difference. Our human minds will make the
difference.
Second, we are going to need all
the technology we can muster, and that will launch us as
humans to create that difference.
If you believe
that the 'future can do without us', as Bill Joy
proclaimed in his provocative 2001 'Wired' article, you
might be interested in reading"why the
future needs us".
Or, if you believe
that the future will be created by
intelligent machines? A future where smiling,
laughing, loving, crying and fighting human beings are
kept in a human zoo, you might want to read
"Three
questions for Ray
Kurzweil".
Or - on the other
hand - if you believe that high-technology just
produces 'another bunch' of gadgets that do not
alter the way we think, I invite you to read "The
forgotten singularity".
If, however, you believe
that the future needs us, and that human knowledge is
the richest source to make better futures, you might
share my deep belief in human creativity, intuition and
imagination. This belief is the basis for my my work as
a consultant, author and speaker.
When you're ready
to look beyond the next quarter, when you realize
that Innovation can not be switched on by decree, when
you're looking to transform the mindset of your
organization, and you wish to look BEYOND the radar, I'm
looking forward to be at your service.
Jan
Amkreutz, | |
|
Predictions
May 2008
About the Presidential elections
2008
the following reflects my
personal intuition of the chances of the 3 candidates to win
the elections. I'll post a new estimate every
month
| May 1
'08 |
|
| McCain |
10% |
| Obama |
70% |
| Clinton |
20% |
| April 1
'08 |
|
| McCain |
10% |
| Obama |
80% |
| Clinton |
10% |
April
2008
About the English
language
1) By establishing itself as the
global business language, English will succeed Latin to become
the next dead language.
2) The US will become officially
multi-lingual before 2020. This will be part of an attempt to
keep the Union together.
January
2008:
immortality
1) Within the next 50 years
immortality will be attainable, and the first people to be
immortal will be alive. for everybody alive today true
immortality is not in the picture, because our digital twins
have not matured yet.
2) Immortality will be redefined
within 2 decades. Not the biology of our body will be the most
important issue however (we'll be able to renew our body at
will through -modified- cloning), but the repository of mental
experiences of the individual over a lifetime will. This
repository will be assembled and maintained by our digital
twins, who are to become the realsubstance of our
immortality.
October
2007
1) With the introduction of the
birth-control drug in the 1960's the conception of children
started to become a conscious human choice. Once this choice
is available to everybody around the planet, abortion of a
healthy fetus will become a capital crime. This will happen
before 2062, the 100th birthday of the
'medicine'.
2) However, by 2050, the
death-penalty for such capital crimes will only be excecuted
on a temporary basis by deactivating the digital twin of the
criminal for a limited period of time. Thi most cruel of all
punishments will only be applied in a few remaining radical
'zero tolerance' comunities.
Predictions
September
2007
1) By 2015, the first global
community takes shape that will offer 'citizenship'
independent of where the members live; this is the beginning
of the end of the governing role of nation states; most
nation-states will become service areas under contract from
various global communities
2) By 2050, cloning after death
will be a common practice; our digital twins will form the
bridge between the clones. Cloning before death will
only be permitted when terminally ill.
Predictions
August 2007
1) The catholic church initiates
the most profound re-translation of the bible in 2020. This is
a consequence of the extensive modelling of the history of the
Middle East since Abraham. This is done in the virtual world
created by 2nd Life at a cost of 2 billion
Euro.
2) The "phone" is dead. The i-phone
rings the bell for the last round of the phone, and the first
round of 'natural interfaces' to 'digeality' (see papers from
the world future society 2007 elsewhere)
Predictions July
2007
1) By 2015 we will have health and
life insurance for our digital twins.
2) The United States will be
officially multi-lingual by 2015. This will happen under the
threat of California leaving the Union. This will happen
anyway, before California's bicentennial celebration in
2046.
Predictions June
2007
1) The conception of children
through sex will be considered irresponsible before 2025,
simply because the method is too risky to produce healthy
children; sex will no longer be a procreational
tool. Within a decade later, using sex to produce
children will be a crime.
2) Most of the big
telecomunnications companies will become
irrelevant before 2015, simply because they fight
the wrong competitors.
---
Opinion:
When I look at nature to see reality, I see constant expansion - of
intelligence and of diversity- along the arrow of time - from
the Big Bang onward;
When I look to science to explain
what reality is, I see
constant progress, in depth and in scope, along the arrow of
time, from the Big Bang onward, and even before
that;
When I look to religion to explain
why reality is, I don't
see expansion or progress; even the arrow of time, that
deepest mystery of them all, is altogether missing. What if
God is behind the arrow of time?
"Digital" Observation:
Intelligent digital recipees perform the
majority of trades on the New York Stock-market these days,
not human beings. Who constitues the 'market', I wonder? A
community of sopisticated machines? Does that mean the
market is predictable? And does that mean somebody can change
'market-mechanisms?'
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